Welcome to our Sydney Swans v Carlton tips, predictions and odds for their AFL round 11 clash at the SCG on Sunday afternoon.
This clash will pit sixth vs twelfth and looms as the most interesting of the Sunday clashes, played in this covid-impacted round, which has seen some games played behind closed doors.
Sydney is coming off an agonising two-point loss to Fremantle, but they will be buoyed by a six-goal haul to Lance Franklin, who has impressed since returning from his latest injury layoff.
The Blues last played on Saturday and defeated Hawthorn by 23 points to notch up their fourth win from 10 matches and keep themselves in touch with the top eight.
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Australian betting sites have installed the Swans a $1.50 favourite to defeat the Blues ($2.62) on their home ground. The line has been set at 13.5 for this clash.
Sydney has recalled Callum Sinclair, Justin McInerney and Kaiden Brand to their line-up, but have lost in-form ruckman Tom Hickey and Robbie Fox through injury. Nick Blakey and Ryan Clarke, who was the medical sub against the Dockers, have been dropped.
Carlton has dropped former captain Marc Murphy after his below-par form this season, with Lachie Plowman (suspension) and Josh Honey (medical sub) also out of the line-up. Young star Sam Walsh will play his 50th game, highlighting his remarkable durability.
Continue reading for our free Sydney v Carlton betting tips, predictions and odds analysis for their AFL round 11 clash at the SCG.
|Start:||3.20pm AEST, May 30|
|Head-to-head odds:||Sydney ($1.50) v Carlton ($2.62)|
|Line betting:||Sydney -13.5 ($1.90) v Carlton +13.5 ($1.90)|
|Premiership odds:||Sydney $34; Carlton $101|
Sydney v Carlton tips
Our AFL betting expert has examined the odds and found some value Sydney Swans v Carlton Blues tips:
Patrick Cripps to have over 25 possessions
Carlton captain Patrick Cripps may have been in the gun this year after playing through injury, but a game on the small SCG, which tends to make games highly contested, should suit the fit-again star. He is paying $1.86 to gather 25+ touches.
Tribet (either team to win by less than 15.5)
These two teams look evenly matched on paper and we cannot see it being a blowout. The tribet has become a favourite of the WGL tipsters this season and with good reason, with many matches proving to be close. This is paying $2.70 with Topsport betting.
Isaac Heeney to kick 3+ goals
Heeney is clearly in the Swans best couple of players these days, but he would not be entirely happy with how this season has panned out, with injuries and form concerns slowing him down. Heeney won a lot of the ball last week, but did not really get into dangerous positions, which is something John Longmire will have looked to rectify. He is paying $3.75 to kick 3+ goals.
Sydney v Carlton prediction 30/5
Sydney will enter this clash as a warm favourite and they need a win after dropping the Dockers game, but the Blues season is also hinging on more wins, now. Like we saw on Friday night when Melbourne whipped the Bulldogs, it really will depend on who brings the energy. We expect this clash to be close and we think the Swans might just get home, but we will stick to the exotics in this one. Our final Sydney v Carlton prediction? Swans by three points.
Swans vs Blues lowdown
Subscription TV: Foxtel; streaming/IPTV: Kayo;
All of the top AFL betting sites will offer markets on the AFL.
The game starts at 3:20pm AEST, May 30, 2021.
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